4 ms·
Quoting from the article: "So ... bitcoins are without intrinsic value as assets, yet they have risen too fast in value to be much use as a currency. Kind of ma
by cs702 14y ago
Quoting from the article: "So ... bitcoins are without intrinsic value as assets, yet they have risen too fast in value to be much use as a currency. Kind of makes your head hurt, doesn't it? But it also sounds a bit like a familiar commodity, gold, that's also been on a roll, with its dollar price quintupling over the past decade. Gold has, over time, not been the greatest of assets to invest in. It's not the greatest of currencies, either: Back when the gold standard was widely adhered to, nations struggled regularly with deflation. There's persuasive evidence that the primary cause of the Great Depression was a refusal to unlink currencies from gold until too late. Still, gold has held onto its purchasing power over time."
I agree with the author: bitcoins are very similar to gold ("the people's currency"), except they're digital and their supply is mathematically fixed. So ... how much would a Bitcoin sell for if the world ever comes to value it like gold?
Granted, that's a big if, but let's entertain the thought for speculative fun. All gold mined since the start of civilization is currently valued at around $8.8 trillion.[1] Divide this figure by the maximum of 21 million bitcoins that can ever be created, and the figure is over $400,000 per Bitcoin. So the answer is, in the order of a few hundred dollars per milli-Bitcoin.
For reference, all bitcoins in existence are currently valued at $0.002 trillion.[2]
--
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold#Production http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold#Production
[2] http://www.bitcoinwatch.com http://www.bitcoinwatch.com
- venomsnake 14y agoThat is a bit misleading. A lot of gold is not on the markets for various reasons -jewelry, hoarders, some electronics. So you should count only liquid gold (hehe) ... the amount that you can actually buy. I think it is much smaller than 8 trillion.
- deleted 14y ago[deleted]
- scottmp10 14y agoMany bitcoins have been lost permanently or are in cold storage. Only a small percentage are available on exchanges.
- dcminter 14y agoBitcoins are divisible up to eight decimal places. So there are rather more units than that potentially available to circulate.
- warfangle 14y agoThus, the Satoshi: the smallest denomination in bitcoin, at 0.00000001 bitcoins. To continue with the above speculative fun, one satoshi would be worth .004 dollars. If the M3 money supply were replaced with bitcoins overnight (assuming 21 million bitcoins and an M3 of 10.3 trillion circa 2009), a bitcoin would be worth $490,476.19. One satoshi would be $0.004947619; a big mac would cost 806 satoshi. Which is only about half the the current USD->Yen exchange rate.