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> "but the searchable internet is just not growing that fast over the next 20 years." Please defend that statement.
by rw 18y ago
> "but the searchable internet is just not growing that fast over the next 20 years."
Please defend that statement.
- Retric 18y agoTo "keep up" with computing power, the searchable internet would need to grow at more than 50% per year which it's not. Now we could argue that Google is going to add some AI that does image search though actual sound / images / movies etc, but IMO it's all still going to be text in 20 years. So, it's a question of how much text is going to be on the internet over the next 20 years. Facebook is already popular enough that there are not enough people in the world for it to grow 50% / year much longer, so it comes down to what % of all human interactions are going to take place online. Granted things change, but I don't see the average person in south Africa is going to start tweeting 10 hours a day within 20 years. We could argue that more companies are going to place their information online but many already do that and it's not growing at 50% / year. It all comes down to the limits of exponential growth, computers are not going to hit hard limits within 20 years and few things can keep up with that level of growth.