4 ms·
This is a problem inherent in all surveys Sorry, I'll have to very strongly disagree on that one. If, for example, you conduct a public opinion poll in the Uni
by thebear 14y ago
This is a problem inherent in all surveys
Sorry, I'll have to very strongly disagree on that one. If, for example, you conduct a public opinion poll in the United States, then all that matters is the size of the sample and your method of selecting the sample. If those are both adequate, then you can draw conclusions (with margins of error) about the entire population. Furthermore, you can repeat the same poll at different points in time and draw conclusions on the changes that you observe. What's happening here is different. Your population is all programmers. Of that, a subset is taken, namely, the set of all Dr. Dobbs readers. From that subset, you take your sample. I trust that the size of your sample and the method of taking it are fine. But we don't know if the subset from which your sample is taken is sufficiently random, and we don't know if and how it changes over time.
In short, you cannot draw conclusions about the entire population if your sample is taken from a subset that does not qualify as a random sample. That problem is very definitely not "inherent in all surveys," as you claim.
- simonh 14y agoYou remind me of this[1] interesting piece of recent research. It turns out that if you perform social science experiments to determine human behaviour and your sample is almost entirely drawn from a population of white american grad students, your results tell you an awful lot about the psychology of white american grad stuidents, but not so much about human beings in general. Oops. Bang goes almost the entire edifice of modern behavioural science. [1] http://www2.psych.ubc.ca/~henrich/pdfs/Weird_People_BBS_final02.pdf http://www2.psych.ubc.ca/~henrich/pdfs/Weird_People_BBS_fina...
- ternaryoperator 14y ago>I'll have to strongly disagree with that one. Then you spend the rest of your comment restating exactly what he said--namely that programming is not a homogeneous community. And, as he points out himself, the Dr. Dobb's community is known to not be representative of the whole and he gives examples.