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Are there any categories besides right and wrong? I'd imagine that the success of some predictions is open to interpretation and/or ambiguous enough to defy eas
by msluyter 18y ago
Are there any categories besides right and wrong? I'd imagine that the success of some predictions is open to interpretation and/or ambiguous enough to defy easy categorization. A perfect example would be "Podcasting will be a factor in the 2006 congressional elections in the US." How much counts as "a factor?" Any amount > 0? How can we be sure one way or the other about this one, without some extensive analysis?
At the very least, I think some explanation of how the determination is made should be required.
- Semiapies 18y agoThe "WRONG" ones have some commentary: http://wrongtomorrow.com/predictions/26 http://wrongtomorrow.com/predictions/26