5 ms·

There are almost no bondholders. The junior bondholders have probably been wiped out, it is unclear. The senior bondholders there are (very few) are secured (co

There are almost no bondholders. The junior bondholders have probably been wiped out, it is unclear. The senior bondholders there are (very few) are secured (covered bonds) which are senior to depositors.

jpdoctor 14y ago
> which are senior to depositors. Not for any definition of "depositor insurance" that I'm familiar with. The whole point was that the investors of the bank would lose their money first, then a gov't agency would make good on the deposits. Anything less is a return to the days of unstable swings banking and deflationary depressions. Or perhaps the wizards at the EU thought/didn't care that Cyprus would join Greece in their deflationary depression: But the signal to Spain and Italy is abundantly clear: Anyone who leaves their money in a bank in those countries is not paying attention.
- justincormack 14y ago
  Depositor insurance is not about legal seniority in debt, it is about an insurance scheme that is made available (usually funded by a levy on banks). Covered bonds own a specific pool of assets. But the issue now is that there is legal restructuring, or taxes like this, without any bankruptcy, so it is a bit random what happens...
  - jpdoctor 14y ago
    > Depositor insurance is not about legal seniority in debt It absolutely is. When a bank fails, the regulating institution steps in and performs the capital restructuring. The statement of depositor insurance is that they are to be made whole, even if the regulatory institution must dip into the depositor insurance fund. The EU restructured the Cyprus banks, but they did not haircut the bondholders for the difference, as has been done in every other bank failure since the Great Depression.
    - bjornsing 14y ago
      I wholeheartedly agree. And this in my mind is what the whole story comes down to. I've written about it here: http://bit.ly/1103Gkq http://bit.ly/1103Gkq. But to summarize, when both the banking system and the government is insolvent it's relatively obvious to me that loses should be imposed in this order: 1. First bank shareholders should be wiped out(!), 2. then junior bondholders, 3. then senior bondholders and uninsured depositors, 4. then government bond holders, 5. and finally, only if the above doesn't cover it, insured deposit holders will have to take a haircut. What we're seeing now is more or less a jump straight to 5.
      - justincormack 14y ago
        There is a full resolution (ie non bankruptcy) proposal in place, due for 2015. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2012:0280:FIN:EN:HTML http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:20... It should be less arbitrary that the current scheme, where senior bondholders and the ECB are not being touched. If you look at the balance sheet of Cyprus Laiki half way down http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/03/16/1425732/a-stupid-idea-whose-time-had-come/ http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/03/16/1425732/a-stupid-idea-... then you see that debt is almost nothing. There is a lot of central bank (ECB indirectly) money which has not been haircut. The decision to haircut the "insured" depositors was a political one, allegedly made by Cyprus itself.
        bjornsing 14y ago
        I can well imagine that Cyprus made the controversial decision (to haircut the "insured" depositors) themselves, for political reasons. It's exactly the decision I'd make in Mr Anastasiades' place if I was being strong-armed by a German delegation. The simple reasoning (for me) would be to increase the risk of contagion above and beyond what Germany can accept, so as to maximize the likelihood of Berlin folding and offering better terms.
        justincormack 14y ago
        This (registration required) appears to be what happened http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f890566a-8f24-11e2-a39b-00144feabdc0.html http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f890566a-8f24-11e2-a39b-00144feabd...
- bitcartel 14y ago
  I'm sure people across the EU are paying close attention, especially with many financial pundits holding a view that Cyprus is just a guinea pig. If the people there roll over without too much fuss, stealing directly from deposit holders will become the template for future banking bail-outs. Bondholders and shareholders of Spanish and Italian banks could then avoid losses on their bad investments by pointing to Cyprus as a shining example of things done right.
- deleted 14y ago
  [deleted]

jpdoctor 14y ago

> which are senior to depositors. Not for any definition of "depositor insurance" that I'm familiar with. The whole point was that the investors of the bank would lose their money first, then a gov't agency would make good on the deposits. Anything less is a return to the days of unstable swings banking and deflationary depressions. Or perhaps the wizards at the EU thought/didn't care that Cyprus would join Greece in their deflationary depression: But the signal to Spain and Italy is abundantly clear: Anyone who leaves their money in a bank in those countries is not paying attention.

justincormack 14y ago
Depositor insurance is not about legal seniority in debt, it is about an insurance scheme that is made available (usually funded by a levy on banks). Covered bonds own a specific pool of assets. But the issue now is that there is legal restructuring, or taxes like this, without any bankruptcy, so it is a bit random what happens...
- jpdoctor 14y ago
  > Depositor insurance is not about legal seniority in debt It absolutely is. When a bank fails, the regulating institution steps in and performs the capital restructuring. The statement of depositor insurance is that they are to be made whole, even if the regulatory institution must dip into the depositor insurance fund. The EU restructured the Cyprus banks, but they did not haircut the bondholders for the difference, as has been done in every other bank failure since the Great Depression.
  - bjornsing 14y ago
    I wholeheartedly agree. And this in my mind is what the whole story comes down to. I've written about it here: http://bit.ly/1103Gkq http://bit.ly/1103Gkq. But to summarize, when both the banking system and the government is insolvent it's relatively obvious to me that loses should be imposed in this order: 1. First bank shareholders should be wiped out(!), 2. then junior bondholders, 3. then senior bondholders and uninsured depositors, 4. then government bond holders, 5. and finally, only if the above doesn't cover it, insured deposit holders will have to take a haircut. What we're seeing now is more or less a jump straight to 5.
    - justincormack 14y ago
      There is a full resolution (ie non bankruptcy) proposal in place, due for 2015. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2012:0280:FIN:EN:HTML http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:20... It should be less arbitrary that the current scheme, where senior bondholders and the ECB are not being touched. If you look at the balance sheet of Cyprus Laiki half way down http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/03/16/1425732/a-stupid-idea-whose-time-had-come/ http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2013/03/16/1425732/a-stupid-idea-... then you see that debt is almost nothing. There is a lot of central bank (ECB indirectly) money which has not been haircut. The decision to haircut the "insured" depositors was a political one, allegedly made by Cyprus itself.
      - bjornsing 14y ago
        I can well imagine that Cyprus made the controversial decision (to haircut the "insured" depositors) themselves, for political reasons. It's exactly the decision I'd make in Mr Anastasiades' place if I was being strong-armed by a German delegation. The simple reasoning (for me) would be to increase the risk of contagion above and beyond what Germany can accept, so as to maximize the likelihood of Berlin folding and offering better terms.
        justincormack 14y ago
        This (registration required) appears to be what happened http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f890566a-8f24-11e2-a39b-00144feabdc0.html http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f890566a-8f24-11e2-a39b-00144feabd...
bitcartel 14y ago
I'm sure people across the EU are paying close attention, especially with many financial pundits holding a view that Cyprus is just a guinea pig. If the people there roll over without too much fuss, stealing directly from deposit holders will become the template for future banking bail-outs. Bondholders and shareholders of Spanish and Italian banks could then avoid losses on their bad investments by pointing to Cyprus as a shining example of things done right.
deleted 14y ago
[deleted]