In the last 18 months there have been exactly two scenarios in which I have required flash: Videos and a really crappy remedy client at work. The Video proble

In the last 18 months there have been exactly two scenarios in which I have required flash: Videos and a really crappy remedy client at work. The Video problem has been mostly solved for web browsers (works fine on my iPad, I suspect tweaking the User agent on my MacBook would get me non-flash video). The remedy client makes no use whatsoever of flash capabilities - it could easily have been written in HTML 5. With that said - I know that right now flash is still used (see my Remedy/Video situation) - and the number of web sites using it are slowly diminishing (1 or 2 percent a year). My question is - what happens, in say, 5 or 6 years, when only 10% (or less) of web sites have any flash, and 100% of iOS device (and possibly some other mobile platforms) don't support flash. I'm wondering if we hit a tipping point where, instead of dropping 1% a year, flash just disappears altogether in 3 or 4 more years after that tipping point as browser/website support passes a point of now return. If so - We might see the end of flash as a supported platform in about 10 years.