3 ms·
Here's a blog post we wrote a few years ago about it: http://blog.inklingmarkets.com/2008/05/judging-prediction-markets-accuracy.html http://blog.inklingmarkets
by adam 14y ago
Here's a blog post we wrote a few years ago about it: http://blog.inklingmarkets.com/2008/05/judging-prediction-markets-accuracy.html http://blog.inklingmarkets.com/2008/05/judging-prediction-ma...
- foobarqux 14y agoYou don't specify when you are sampling the market. It often wouldn't be surprising, or useful, that a market correctly predicts an event the day before it occurs.