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Possible scenarios can easily be abstracted. E.g. Building attack, car bomb, etc etc. They have the data.
by trapper 18y ago
Possible scenarios can easily be abstracted. E.g. Building attack, car bomb, etc etc. They have the data.
- giardini 17y agoCertainly scenarios can be and are described but not all possible scenarios can be listed because they are infinite in number, And this is true in a non-trivial sense. When you say "They have the data." I assume you are speaking of statistics. But - These are rare events and statistical analysis is at it's limits, - The past is no predictor of the future. Example: the introduction and continued enhancement of IEDs in Iraq. Although he doesn't elaborate on my first point above, I recommend that you also read Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book, "The Black Swan".