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Historically I have been a big supporter of trains in the US. Recently, I have decided that the cost may not be worth the benefit if future technology is consi
by wtvanhest 14y ago
Historically I have been a big supporter of trains in the US. Recently, I have decided that the cost may not be worth the benefit if future technology is considered.
The future is going to involve self driving busses, self driving cars, self driving trucks etc.
The primary thing I enjoy about the train is the additional space. Fundmantally, that is the problem with trains too. If they jammed people on a train the way they jam them on a bus, it should drive the profits up. Amtrak sells out a lot of routes in the north east while competing with $20 bus tickets.
In 20 years, self driving busses should replace trains as the up front cost is lower and the market is freer.
I'd argue that any money considered spent on trains should be put to better use.
(Added)
I think it is safe to assume all vehicles will run on electric and batteries in the distant future, further reducing train advantages.
- oijaf888 14y agoTrains are substantially more efficient to move freight. I don't think that self driving trucks will be able to compete insofar as bulk movement of freight goes.
- dyno12345 14y agoThe freight rail system in the US is actually pretty good, and virtually all freight doesn't need bullet-train speed.
- sebbi 14y agoI don't think busses, self driving or not, could ever compete with high speed trains. I have yet to see a bus driving 220 mph on a street crowded with other cars, busses and trucks. And that will be even more true if the US decides that 220 mph is too slow (because it is just as fast as everyone else) and they might want to skip that milestone and go for 350 mph maglev trains ;-)