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> Giving David Gelernter credit for predicting Dropbox is to show a lack of appreciation for the decisions that made Dropbox great - and better than the army of
by garry 14y ago
> Giving David Gelernter credit for predicting Dropbox is to show a lack of appreciation for the decisions that made Dropbox great - and better than the army of options that came before it that simply weren't good.
I was extra impressed by was how close Gelernter was to predicting the cost and nature of such a service. It's an impressive thing to guess about $12.50, and that it would be a simple and reliable monthly service. This was an era where 1 GB hard drives cost $1000, mind you.
You're right, Gelernter couldn't have known the specific details that would have made Dropbox successful. If you could know that, you would have created Dropbox.
- jacquesm 14y ago> If you could know that, you would have created Dropbox. No, you probably still wouldn't have. That's just one of many factors that allowed a number of people to create Dropbox. Besides a vision you need the right timing, addressable market, execution skills, presentation, determination and so on.