The author seems to have constructed a strawman. The only other time I've seen this particular is blog when it was posted[1] on HN and the author was fighting

The author seems to have constructed a strawman. The only other time I've seen this particular is blog when it was posted[1] on HN and the author was fighting a strawman Nate Silver. Its unfortunate because the blogger obviously has some math smarts, but misinterprets the written word. [1]http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4949103 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4949103