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Bah! There are plenty of people who think they have insight into a particular market when they release their product. Some of those people show "insight" in h

• sho 18y ago
  "Some of those people show "insight" in hindsight, but what about the others? Were they less insightful?" Well obviously? "If twitter2.com takes off: you look like a genius; but if it flops, you just lacked insight?" Sure, more than you lacked "hard work" or "luck". I was presenting "twitter2.com" as an extreme example. Of course, it will never succeed. We can recognise that because it takes just a minimal amount of insight to predict it. What I'm trying to demonstrate, through this contrived example, is that luck won't save you if you worked hard on something dumb. Insight! Decisions! What to do, what to make! These are key; why bother arguing? The question presumes that there are just two factors to success: hard work and luck. I'm trying to say that there is at least one more critically important factor, which I loosely labelled "insight", with a disclaimer no less! I don't see why this is controversial, it seems self-evident.