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Sergei Brin of Google has promised < 5 years for an average joe. And that was 6 months ago.

• tluyben2 14y ago
  That would be the US I guess, but that's close enough :) Hopefully they can do it!
• tokenadult 14y ago
  Sergey Brin's actual statement was "You can count on one hand the number of years until ordinary people can experience this" as transcribed from an interview. http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9231707/Self_driving_cars_a_reality_for_39_ordinary_people_39_within_5_years_says_Google_39_s_Sergey_Brin http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9231707/Self_driving_... That is an ambitious prediction, and I wonder what that suggests about the cost of the self-driving system, as fewer and fewer cars look affordable to many "ordinary people" these days. I think Brin, being a billionaire for several years now, may have a warped sense of what "ordinary people" can really afford, so I give it ten years till I'm likely to be able to buy a car with self-driving features. But that means I can buy at most just one more car without self-driving features (to replace a car that threatens to fail at any moment, after almost 170,000 miles of driving since 1999), and then the next car I buy will be a self-driving car. Cool.
  • chrisfromto 14y ago
    "Ordinary people" could certainly afford to ride in driver-less taxis.