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The premise of the piece was that there's no new battery technology in the pipeline. Not on a particular timescale (he talks about lifetimes). The author believ
by alanctgardner2 14y ago
The premise of the piece was that there's no new battery technology in the pipeline. Not on a particular timescale (he talks about lifetimes). The author believes batteries as a technology have reached peak energy density. If there's a research that suggests otherwise, that invalidates his whole point.
- criley 14y agoI think the author is explicitly NOT stating that battery technology has reached it's peak, but rather the safe bet isn't on huge changes in a decade time frame. He's not commenting on the tech so much as the wisdom of ASSUMING it will be better in a certain time frame. He's saying, it's not wise to build a business on top of the idea that battery tech will progress predictably or at all. I disagree, because any business built on that will be the first to exploit it properly when it comes out, as a competitive advantage. But if they're wrong, they'll deal with the downside risk of, you know, being wrong.