I sort of agree but I think the danger with your exercise as it pertains to this article is that it takes into account everything - not just tech. My washing m

I sort of agree but I think the danger with your exercise as it pertains to this article is that it takes into account everything - not just tech. My washing machine is way better, car runs longer, better medications, etc. I think in terms of traditional Silicon Valley tech (as it is today) his point is largely correct and natural. While software is increasingly ubiquitous, the pace/rate at which its able to be a driver of new innovation/change is increasingly less in my opinion - computing and the internet has been maturing over the last 50 years and we should expect to see less life altering changes as a whole. It doesn't mean the gig is up - it just means computing progress is now eating away at the fringes and that the delta in how much computing drives innovation will be somewhat less through 2010-2020 than it was from 2000-2010.