3 ms·
It's my belief that the first computer programs that we would consider a real AI have already been built, and quite recently. Somehow or other, when enough info
by wbhart 14y ago
It's my belief that the first computer programs that we would consider a real AI have already been built, and quite recently. Somehow or other, when enough information is finally available for such a breakthrough, there is a kind of 'leakage' that happens into the public domain. News articles, science and tech articles in particular, begin to converge. From this 'leakage' it is possible to piece together how such a thing might be accomplished. And usually, within five years or so, a big announcement is made by a big company. The funny thing is, I can already see what the big limitation of AI is going to be. It's not going to draw up plans for a warp drive or cure cancer any time soon, as some have imagined. Instead, we are going to learn something very interesting about the current rate of scientific progress.
- aantix 14y ago>Instead, we are going to learn something very interesting about the current rate of scientific progress. ...Which would be?
- wbhart 14y ago...that it isn't limited by how 'smart' we are. That's the cheap answer to your question of course. The more expensive answer relates to the role of creativity in scientific advance, and how creativity is limited by experience. When you look at the history of scientific advance, very rarely are discoveries made out-of-time. They occur when the conditions are right. They rarely occur sooner because they are meaningless without the context of the times in which they were developed. So, scientific advance is essentially limited by us humans and the rate that we progress as a race. In other words, the rate of scientific advance is just about optimal, or approaching a limit set by us. :-)