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America's Real Criminal Element: Lead
- gruseom 14y agoThis is a tour de force of reporting on empirical research in an area that could hardly be of greater social importance. Drum deserves 100x more attention for this than he got for breaking the Romney 47% video in September. Concidentally via http://election.princeton.edu/2012/12/22/scientific-americans-gun-error/ http://election.princeton.edu/2012/12/22/scientific-american... from a couple weeks ago, here's a link to Reyes' paper on the lead/crime theory: http://www3.amherst.edu/~jwreyes/papers/LeadCrimeBEJEAP.pdf http://www3.amherst.edu/~jwreyes/papers/LeadCrimeBEJEAP.pdf And here's a striking critique of the Freakonomics abortion/crime theory, which I suppose most people here have heard of: http://www.economist.com/node/5246700?story_id=5246700 http://www.economist.com/node/5246700?story_id=5246700 Someone inspected Donohue and Levitt's code and found a bug that meant they hadn't controlled for what they claimed they had. "Fixing that error reduces the effect of abortion on arrests by about half, using the original data, and two-thirds using updated numbers."
- sc68cal 14y agoSlight nitpick - David Corn, the DC Bureau Chief broke the 47% video. But yeah, Kevin Drum does great work. > And here's a striking critique of the Freakonomics abortion/crime theory, which I suppose most people here have heard of: I have not heard of this! Thank you for sharing!