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Your statistics are seriously flawed. For example, your math in point 2 assumes you will certainly find yourself in a life threatening situation while carrying
by jzwinck 14y ago
Your statistics are seriously flawed. For example, your math in point 2 assumes you will certainly find yourself in a life threatening situation while carrying the device. And your point 3 probably vastly overestimates the fraction of life-or-death calls.
- Sam_Odio 14y agoYour statistics are seriously flawed. Actually, I think you a) misunderstood the claim in point 2, and b) take issue with the assumptions - not the math/statistics - in point 3. your math in point 2 assumes you will certainly find yourself in a life threatening situation while carrying the device. In point 2 the likelihood of a life threatening situation was not assumed or calculated (that's point 3). The conclusion, restated: If there's a 1/3500 chance you'll be able to effectively use the device to save your life, you're breaking even while mitigating risk. And your point 3 probably vastly overestimates the fraction of life-or-death calls. You've stated that I've made assumptions and you're right - which is why they're labeled as such. Feel free to suggest yours.