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I mean I'm producing more and better art and software each month than I used to do in a year. I feel like I'm flourishing because of AI. Tell me I'm wrong?

by brookst 14d ago

jaybeavers 14d ago
You’re not wrong. Me too. I spend most of my waking hours using AI for new product development. But can you bring it to market and turn it into a reliable revenue stream? And will this still be true in a few years when the duo or trio -opolies corner the AI market enough that the $200 subscriptions go away to be replaced by API pricing only? I’m already seeing my subscription use slow to a crawl during peak hours so I now code before 8 am or after 6 pm. And turning on ‘Opus Fast’ with API pricing is already financially impossible for me as a small business. Ironically, China may be the savior here, with open source models that may be good enough to ‘put the means of production in the hands of the working class’. I mean, is QWEN a 4d chess game to replace capitalism with communism? Who knew (outside of the CCP central committee)?
- hollerith 14d ago
  >is QWEN a 4d chess game to replace capitalism with communism? No. The Chinese labs pay much less to train their models because they are distilling Western models. Western labs can't do it that way because they'd immediately be sued. They release model weights under permissive licenses to get any attention and usage share at all.
  - jacquesm 14d ago
    > The Chinese labs pay much less to train their models because they distill Western models. That's nonsense.
    - hollerith 13d ago
      I'm going to take your comment as a request for supporting details. I believe what I wrote is an accurate summary of information in a report published this month by Anthropic. I haven't seen the report, but have seen this next summary written by someone who I trust to summarize accurately: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-bad-guy-with-an-ai-named-claude?open=false#%C2%A7illicit-fraudulent-distillation https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-bad-guy-with-an-ai-named-c... OpenAI reported similar behavior last year. The assertion that the other (two) leading US models are being distilled in a similar manner is an assumption on my part. Where I wrote, "Claude or another leading US model" I initially had just "Claude", but it felt silly to imply that the same thing is not happening to the other leading US models.
k12sosse 14d ago
But does it suck?
- brookst 13d ago
  I'm happy. You may think my art sucks, but five years ago I didn't have the resources to create it, whether or not it sucks.

I mean I'm producing more and better art and software each month than I used to do in a year. I feel like I'm flourishing because of AI. Tell me I'm wrong?

by brookst 14d ago

I mean I'm producing more and better art and software each month than I used to do in a year. I feel like I'm flourishing because of AI. Tell me I'm wrong?

jaybeavers 14d ago

You’re not wrong. Me too. I spend most of my waking hours using AI for new product development. But can you bring it to market and turn it into a reliable revenue stream? And will this still be true in a few years when the duo or trio -opolies corner the AI market enough that the $200 subscriptions go away to be replaced by API pricing only? I’m already seeing my subscription use slow to a crawl during peak hours so I now code before 8 am or after 6 pm. And turning on ‘Opus Fast’ with API pricing is already financially impossible for me as a small business. Ironically, China may be the savior here, with open source models that may be good enough to ‘put the means of production in the hands of the working class’. I mean, is QWEN a 4d chess game to replace capitalism with communism? Who knew (outside of the CCP central committee)?

hollerith 14d ago
>is QWEN a 4d chess game to replace capitalism with communism? No. The Chinese labs pay much less to train their models because they are distilling Western models. Western labs can't do it that way because they'd immediately be sued. They release model weights under permissive licenses to get any attention and usage share at all.
- jacquesm 14d ago
  > The Chinese labs pay much less to train their models because they distill Western models. That's nonsense.
  - hollerith 13d ago
    I'm going to take your comment as a request for supporting details. I believe what I wrote is an accurate summary of information in a report published this month by Anthropic. I haven't seen the report, but have seen this next summary written by someone who I trust to summarize accurately: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-bad-guy-with-an-ai-named-claude?open=false#%C2%A7illicit-fraudulent-distillation https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-bad-guy-with-an-ai-named-c... OpenAI reported similar behavior last year. The assertion that the other (two) leading US models are being distilled in a similar manner is an assumption on my part. Where I wrote, "Claude or another leading US model" I initially had just "Claude", but it felt silly to imply that the same thing is not happening to the other leading US models.

k12sosse 14d ago

But does it suck?

brookst 13d ago
I'm happy. You may think my art sucks, but five years ago I didn't have the resources to create it, whether or not it sucks.