It doesn't seem like there is evidence that LLMs have counterfactual reasoning in the causal graph sense. It is hard to see how something can have skepticism w

It doesn't seem like there is evidence that LLMs have counterfactual reasoning in the causal graph sense. It is hard to see how something can have skepticism without counterfactual reasoning. The part about disbelief I don't really understand. It seems like the same semi-brute force process that solved novel math theory would have exactly this problem of not "knowing" "it" is in a sandbox or not. The stranger part is that no human is being held accountable for these hacks. As if a person using an agent swarm to start a business to make money, hacks a bank, drains an account and then blames the software for "misalignment" about what it means to "make money".