I think the real question you're asking is: why isn't AI coded software replacing well-known incumbent software (office, adobe, etc...) Because I see AI coded

I think the real question you're asking is: why isn't AI coded software replacing well-known incumbent software (office, adobe, etc...) Because I see AI coded software everywhere: HN has been complaining about the recent influx of Show HNs due to AI. Take a specific product category: there are about two new dictation apps on Show HN every week. Here are my theories: - adobe/office are simply too complex for AI to replicate (as of now). Theo Browne has been testing all the frontier models with a relatively simple fish game. The results have been subpar, at best. I don't think anyone would prefer the AI-generated games over the original. Even if the AI-generated version was free. - Most AI-coded software won't be distributed like classic software. Instead of a bag of hundreds of features (adobe/office), AI will be used to create the specific 5% of the features a single user really needs (home-cooked software). The software may even be per project or even per task. Why spend 20X to 100X the tokens/time when you only need a small subset of the features? - AI may not be able to replace human "taste" or design. There is a lot of design that went into adobe and office. I don't think AI can fully understand all the "why's" of these designs. We can already kind of see this with open source: Gimp and LibreOffice are alternatives to adobe/office. Yet most people prefer the paid options. - Even if AI solved coding, there are other barriers like marketing. Some examples: - I built my perfect window management system with the help of AI. It suits my very specific needs very well, but it's nowhere near ready for distribution. So this is AI-generated software no one else will ever probably see. - Going with the home-cooked meal analogy: there is a dish served at all Chinese restaurants in Korea: jjajangmyeon. However you can't find it in China because that dish is only found at home, not at restaurants in China.