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> We've lived through much worse without any sort of technology beyond fire and a big stick. Lack of technology alone will not wipe out the entirety of humanit
by tavavex 12d ago
> We've lived through much worse without any sort of technology beyond fire and a big stick.
Lack of technology alone will not wipe out the entirety of humanity, I agree. But we're not talking about just a lack of something. We're rapidly sprinting to give the fewest people the most power over the planet ever. I think it's likely to happen in the 21st century. What happens when the worst case scenario isn't just being left with nothing, but facing an entity that is so rich and powerful that it can use active measures to kill as many as possible? This is more power than any warlord or emperor could've dreamed of in the past.
> But as much as I think people like Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg are unhinged lunatics, I also think they're smart enough to keep people fed and entertained for pennies on their accumulating dollars.
So far, every time the billionaire class has been asked about how much money should go to them in society, their answer has always been a resounding "ALL OF IT". You don't get to that level of wealth while retaining a state of mind that allows you to toss a penny to the beggar. Reality is what's holding them back right now, but what would happen if their dreams of total automation eventually come true? How long from then until one of them snaps and decides to use state of the art automated military technology and weapons of mass destruction to wage war against the peasants (armed with sticks and stones) to solve the 'problem' once and for all?
To be clear, I'm not saying any of this is imminent or remotely likely to happen soon. But our society is moving in a direction where something like this could eventually be possible. Giving a human truly absolute power over the entire world has never been tried before.
- LogicFailsMe 10d agoOther than the tech fascists, does anyone love billionaires right now? Reality is indeed holding them back. And their dreams of total domination are materials science and resource-limited - no self reproducing robots anytime soon. So with that, we can rule out extinction at the hands of the machines 100% leaving only machines somehow accessories to near ELEs humans could trigger today and could have triggered for decades. And at that point, Scary Potter and his friends need to STFU. So scaling down to an AI takeover in the next decade, paradoxically, the idiotic pronouncements by Sam Altman and Dario Amodei that AI is coming for your jobs and that they are afraid of their own creations is not the sort of thing that leads to an AI takeover, it leads to regulations and bans. What would would make such an AI takeover viable in the next decade would be a magnificent seemingly benevolent AGI that raised living standards and spread happiness as it enchanted and delighted its way to everyone happily ceding control to the greatest thing ever. Does that remotely sound like the near future to you? In the words of Ted Chiang "most fears about AI are best understood as fears about capitalism" and that aligns with what's going on right now. So let's skip the intermediary surrogate and attack the worst bits of late stage capitalism, mmkay?