3 ms·

> The Saudi pipeline that was attacked had a capacity of 7M barrels per day. Gone for who knows how long. That 7MBPD that needs to come from somewhere. it prob

by bawolff 13d ago

> The Saudi pipeline that was attacked had a capacity of 7M barrels per day. Gone for who knows how long. That 7MBPD that needs to come from somewhere. it probably depends on what exactly happened to the pipeline, but normally i'd expect this to be a short term disruption, as replacing a small segment isn't really that hard. The real question is will it be struck over and over again.

pseudohadamard 12d ago
The Houthis destroyed a pumping station, you don't just plug in a new one of those in a week or two. Also given the length of the pipeline they can just take out more parts of it at their leisure.
- bawolff 12d ago
  I'd disagree, i think a single pumping station can be fixed relatively quickly. The real problem is your second sentence - if Houthis just keep blowing it up every time the Saudis fix it.
  - pseudohadamard 11d ago
    A fault at a pumping station, for example a broken valve, can be fixed relatively quickly, you pull a spare out of storage and install it, taking maybe a couple of days if it's a critical-path component that can't be bypassed and you need to shut down and commission-test afterwards. This isn't a fault though, what the Houthis have done is turned the whole site into a blackened pile of twisted metal, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/14/saudi-pipeline-drone-attack-houthis-global-oil-supply-prices https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/14/saudi-pipeline.... The remedy isn't to replace a part, it's to clear the entire site of debris and rebuild it from the ground up. And that's assuming the material to build a complete pumping station is just lying around in a yard somewhere and doesn't need to be manufactured on demand with an 18-month lead time - the story quotes 1 1/2 months to repair, but who knows what it'll actually be.

3 ms·

> The Saudi pipeline that was attacked had a capacity of 7M barrels per day. Gone for who knows how long. That 7MBPD that needs to come from somewhere. it prob

by bawolff 13d ago

pseudohadamard 12d ago
The Houthis destroyed a pumping station, you don't just plug in a new one of those in a week or two. Also given the length of the pipeline they can just take out more parts of it at their leisure.
- bawolff 12d ago
  I'd disagree, i think a single pumping station can be fixed relatively quickly. The real problem is your second sentence - if Houthis just keep blowing it up every time the Saudis fix it.
  - pseudohadamard 11d ago
    A fault at a pumping station, for example a broken valve, can be fixed relatively quickly, you pull a spare out of storage and install it, taking maybe a couple of days if it's a critical-path component that can't be bypassed and you need to shut down and commission-test afterwards. This isn't a fault though, what the Houthis have done is turned the whole site into a blackened pile of twisted metal, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/14/saudi-pipeline-drone-attack-houthis-global-oil-supply-prices https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/14/saudi-pipeline.... The remedy isn't to replace a part, it's to clear the entire site of debris and rebuild it from the ground up. And that's assuming the material to build a complete pumping station is just lying around in a yard somewhere and doesn't need to be manufactured on demand with an 18-month lead time - the story quotes 1 1/2 months to repair, but who knows what it'll actually be.