It doesn't ring true and it never rang true. He was wrong in 2022 and he'd be wrong today. He had (and likely still has) a wrong model of LLMs. Not exaggerating

It doesn't ring true and it never rang true. He was wrong in 2022 and he'd be wrong today. He had (and likely still has) a wrong model of LLMs. Not exaggerating 2022 capabilities and having a model so wrong you're out of whack 4 years later are 2 different things. There are people who had the right idea from the start. https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/02/19/gpt-2-as-step-toward-general-intelligence/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/02/19/gpt-2-as-step-toward-g...