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Show HN: Analyst Index – analysts who make money telling you good stock calls
Hi HN!
What if analyst ratings could be relied on to help you find the next Sandisk, before it takes off?
On Analyst Index, analysts publish price targets with a maturity date. Every call gets scored against what the stock actually did, so an analyst builds a record on accuracy instead of on follower count.
I started this because after riding the Tesla wave in 2019/2020, I messed up epically with some high risk bets that didn’t work out, including one pick from an analyst I didn’t know was not much good. I needed something like this to help me figure out a) which analysts are worth listening to, and b) which stocks to buy based on their ratings.
On what already exists: TipRanks has scored analysts since 2009 and Benzinga sells accuracy scores through an API, so this isn’t entirely new. The difference here is that analyst incentives are aligned with that of investors through a subscription. TipRanks and others scrape published sell side calls and sell access to investors without analysts seeing a dollar of investor revenue. So without aligned incentives, the quality of their work is going to be lower.
(Yes, I scraped sell side calls to bootstrap Analyst Index with some data - better than launching with a ghost town).
On methodology: Right now scoring is naive. I compare the call against the stock's movement over the stated horizon and score the difference. I thought it better to ship simpler something sooner rather than later. If scoring design is your area, I'd like to talk.
What's live: 44 price targets from 25 analysts across 3 tickers, browsable without an account.
What isn't: no analyst signup yet, no payments, and no paywall enforcement — anyone can currently subscribe to anyone and see everything.
Business model (planned): analysts set their own subscription price, readers subscribe directly, I take 10%.
Open problems I don't have answers to:
- Cold start on supply. The analysts I want are good and undiscovered, which means they have no audience by definition, so the score has to do the work an audience normally does. If I can't drive demand-side traffic, no amount of scoring sophistication saves this.
- Whether price targets carry information at all. Plenty of people think they're noise. My guess is that aligning incentives will produce a signal, but I can't prove that just yet.
Regulatory: I operate as a publisher, not an adviser. Content is impersonal and general circulation, with no personalized recommendations and no performance promises. Nothing on the site is investment advice.
Link: https://www.analystidx.com/ https://www.analystidx.com/
The feedback I want most is who you would like to see on Analyst Index (analysts) and what it would take for you to become a customer (as an investor). I know most people out of the gate are going to have objections to using Analyst Index for their own investing, but it would be helpful to learn what those objections are to evaluate whether they can be overcome.
Any other feedback is welcome too!
- N_Lens 19d agoMan this looks incredibly ripe for abuse. I don't know how, particularly, just that policing this will be tough because the intensity of interest in gaming/cheating such a platform will be overwhelming.
- haichuan 19d agoAcknowledge that a platform like this will be a target for gaming. Please try to break it and tell me how you did it.
- vivzkestrel 19d ago- i ll give you an even better idea - find all the YT videos that talk about trading - find all their predictions and the time on their video when the prediction was made along with the stock - find today s time and evaluate whether the prediction was good or bad and how much profit / loss in percentage - create a coinmarketcap type website of all YT channels sorted in descending order of how many good / bad predictions and percentage gain / loss etc - would be a wild freaking website and the idea could be extended further to blogs
- haichuan 19d agoYes! Youtube was in part what inspired all of this. But watching through so many channels might be time consuming, so scraping price targets in that way could end up very exhausting... Also one problem I have noticed is that Youtubers will tend to delete their price target videos that didn't work out, making it seem like they had an immaculate track record of predictions.
- vivzkestrel 19d agothey wont delete if we consider past predictions in the yellow category, start from today and mark all future ones in green. we ll fetch their videos every hour
- 18d ago