2 ms·
Dario/Anthropic cites 3 domains: 1. cyberattacks 2. bioterror 3. global economy chaos So, the first set of questions is would 'exponentially better LLMs' drama
by gz5 19d ago
Dario/Anthropic cites 3 domains:
1. cyberattacks
2. bioterror
3. global economy chaos
So, the first set of questions is would 'exponentially better LLMs' dramatically increase the probability of any of the above, or domains that Dario is not citing? That assumes that exponential improvements will happen if there is not 'pacing'.
IF answers to above are 'yes', then we need to question if 'pacing' is viable. To use a different domain, regulating 95% of vehicles to a max speed would likely save 100s of 1000s of lives, but is not perceived to be viable. In other examples, regulation has unintended consequences in the opposite direction (e.g. some 'rent control' efforts and arguably some drug/alcohol laws).
- crawfordcomeaux 19d agoAnother main threat is labor capture through mass surveillance and somehow destroying the economy for most people.