4 ms·

I think my counter is relatively straightforward. Economists have said that as of more or less today there has been zero impact from AI. Despite layoffs in tech

I think my counter is relatively straightforward. Economists have said that as of more or less today there has been zero impact from AI. Despite layoffs in tech. I don’t think we go from “no economic impact” to end of humanity in “the next few years”.

sigmarule 22d ago
Did the economists’ analysis consider variables like AI-spurred layoffs / job displacement also influencing the metrics being considered? I suppose it would be very hard to do as it’s unclear what subset of layoffs were downstream effects of AI, and I’m sure if I, random guy on HN, thought of it, they, actual economists, surely would’ve too. In any case, the economics of a doomsday device are probably quite unique.., though economic impact as a proxy for intelligence and intelligence as proxy for likelihood-of-annihilating for some bands is probably a fair way to approximate here…
talon8635 22d ago
Zero impact seems weird. Aren’t employees at major software companies saying they don’t even write code anymore? I personally know people are Google who say this.
- fingerlocks 22d ago
  Explicitly told we should not be writing code anymore at Microsoft.
  - talon8635 21d ago
    Wow, okay. Yeah that sounds like a pretty major impact lol. And it’s still extremely early days.
- red-iron-pine 21d ago
  had someone use that exact phrase "I don't even write code anymore" this morning when we were getting coffee dude is a Ph.D in ML and is leading pipeline development efforts in an ML org