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My personal opinions (not necessarily reflecting my company's): 1. Free-form capitalism is fundamentally incompatible with AI. In other words, competent AI b
by honr 22d ago
My personal opinions (not necessarily reflecting my company's):
1. Free-form capitalism is fundamentally incompatible with AI. In other words, competent AI brings a free-form (low regulation) capitalistic environment to total collapse. (This is actually not my own opinion; heard the details from several economists and it makes sense to me).
2. Hiding from AI will not be an option for long. It will affect many jobs (often by increasing productivity at a macro level; it can reduce some productivity here and there, obviously).
3. The concerns about costs of energy (of the current applications) are short term. Follow major Electrical Engineering conferences to see why. In short, several ideas can drastically reduce the energy / token inference costs (some about 100x). Some existing companies are working on those ideas and at least one has a proof of concept (since 2018) and they raised capital to scale, late in 2025. Of course, once AI inference becomes cheap (in terms of energy per token), more hardware will be doing that, so overall I don't know where the costs will go. That is, new applications might become popular, using overall more tokens and eating through the "moore's law" of Inference energy.
4. The only way to prevent mass NEGATIVE disruption on state / country level is to HOLD THE SITUATION IN HAND and fully and consciously take it toward a good end state. Which needs GENIUS level analysis, insight, and execution, from the administration. Some countries are going to fare this better than the others.