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On the other hand, you have Bayesian probability: even if it looks 99% like Aliens have landed in front yard, you would still be validly assuming it's your neig
by bobbydavid 14y ago
On the other hand, you have Bayesian probability: even if it looks 99% like Aliens have landed in front yard, you would still be validly assuming it's your neighbors with flashlights.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability
Put simply, you multiply the "a posteriori probability" (i.e. how much it "looks" like it happened) by the original probability (how likely it is to happen).