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When I look at the technology and capability of frontier models for ideation, brainstorming, and research, or when I look at the open source community and open
by hermitShell 24d ago
When I look at the technology and capability of frontier models for ideation, brainstorming, and research, or when I look at the open source community and open weight models, and running local LLM's... I'm convinced that this is a technology revolution the size of the internet.
When I look at businesses trying to turn this research and technology into profit, I think that this is a bubble that will burst. You are not alone, I am very doubtful of the current concoction of AI features being offered. The true winners and legitimate applications will emerge over the next 30 years. Google, Nvidia, and Microsoft could all become IBM, Xerox, and Kodak. Or maybe they find a way to pivot. Because truly, there is an amazing amount of nonsense BS in the AI hype train.
Acknowledging the outside chance that recursive self-improvement works and we just scale directly into a Kardashev 1 civilization within my children's lifetime, and K-2 in theirs'. Can't rule it out no matter how hard I try.