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The probability calculator doesn't really help, since the core question for me is how one arrives at its "Probability that misalignment leads to an unrecoverabl
by romanows 23d ago
The probability calculator doesn't really help, since the core question for me is how one arrives at its "Probability that misalignment leads to an unrecoverable global catastrophe.".
- ben_w 23d agoSure, sure. There's many others like this to help you combine whatever you do feel you can put a number to. For me, that particular question is "probably 0, but with 100% variance". This is because I think most of the things AI can do harm with are small enough to force us to take the risk seriously, and only a few are big enough to get us all before we take the risk seriously.
- jhonof 23d agoThis is a succinct explanation for what I have been thinking as well, thank you for putting it into words.