3 ms·
This is more like ASI instead of AGI
by cnxhk 29d ago
This is more like ASI instead of AGI
- bulder 29d agoThe bar must be underground if things humans do all the time are considered "superintelligence"
- david-gpu 29d agoHow many times have you done each of the following? - write a well-received book, write a best-seller - come up with a new company idea, Run that company - actually have a decent conversation, maybe someday talk somebody out of suicide effectively - come up with its own ideas or theories that nobody else has presented - understand the stock market well enough to trade better than an index fund I just picked the first few from the top of the list. The average human has probably not done any of them.
- Verdex 28d agoI couldn't do any of those, but then ~$10k of education later I was able to accomplish one of those things. I think LLMs are really impressive, but I suspect that we might have overpaid just a bit.
- david-gpu 28d agoIt costs money to train each single human, who is then only productive for a number of years until age takes its toll. Once you have trained one software system, the marginal cost of producing a copy approaches zero. Every subsequent improvement can be broadcasted in a matter of seconds across thousands of data centers. In addition, software does not get sick, age, or die.
- workingonit3 28d agoOrdinary people do these things all the time. There are new companies made every day, new books top the charts every week/month/year, same for music. People have decent conversations every day. Ordinary people sometimes do have to talk someone out of suicide. Yes, average humans are not beating the stock market. But the average human is a bit better than you give credit to.
- david-gpu 28d agoPlease consider the context of the question. An artificial intelligence only needs to have the cognitive abilities of a random average human in order to be "AGI". The average human has never published a bestselling book. A person who has published a bestselling book is an above-average writer. And, therefore, an artificial intelligence capable of writing a bestselling book would be above an average human at the task of writing books. Therefore, somewhere beyond an AGI. Attempting to redefine AGI to "being better than most humans at most tasks" is moving the goalposts towards artificial superintelligence.
- workingonit3 28d agoAre you mistaking "average" for the literal average number of people? I am referring to average as in ability. Most authors are pretty average people, sure, the above average ones write war and peace etc. But most books these days are not from these extraordinary people.
- david-gpu 28d agoMost authors do not write bestsellers.
- bulder 28d agoThis subthread was about the root list of claims being "more like ASI instead of AGI." By definition being superhuman means doing things no human can.
- david-gpu 28d agoIndeed. And there is a wide gap between "being as cognitively capable as the average human" and "doing things that no human can", as you put it. So it is important to be realistic about what things the average human is capable of doing, and writing bestselling books is not one of them. Just as an example.
- 28d ago