3 ms·
I did a statistical analysis and you are correct. The issue seems to be that crude birth rates from around 500CE and earlier are overestimated significantly. Th
by zhoBEENG 1mo ago
I did a statistical analysis and you are correct. The issue seems to be that crude birth rates from around 500CE and earlier are overestimated significantly. The bad source seems to be Kaneda & Haub, "How Many People Have Ever Lived on Earth?", where they assume a flat crude birth rate of 80 for all BCE dates. The probability distribution is just a function of pop and CBR, so it results in significantly decreasing modern birth probabilities.
- fxd 1mo agoIn other words, the Flat Birth Theory. We can call them flat birthers
- karim79 1mo agoCome on now. We all know the birth is not flat. It can be clearly seen from space.
- song_synth 1mo agoOff with the Flat Birthers, I'm a Reverse Birther! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsAIhGoKVuo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsAIhGoKVuo
- mmmnnn 1mo agohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KKpILoUMMb8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KKpILoUMMb8