4 ms·
Great analysis. Yes, cost structure; yes, ARM is the incumbent with all those forces in their favour, such as being tuned to the upgrade rhythm of the phone mar
by 6ren 14y ago
Great analysis. Yes, cost structure; yes, ARM is the incumbent with all those forces in their favour, such as being tuned to the upgrade rhythm of the phone market.
A way out for Intel is their world-leading foundries, with process shrink a generation ahead. It's been suggested they manufacture ARM SoCs, and sell at a premium. But there isn't really a premium market... except for Apple, and its massive margins. And Apple is feeling the heat from competitors hot on its heels. Therefore: Intel fabs Apple's chips. Intel gets a premium. Apple gets a truly unmatchable lead. It's sad for Intel, but Andy Grove has a quote on the cover of The Innovator's Dilemma. They know the stakes.
The nice thing for consumers would be a x2 fast or x2 battery life or half-weight iPhone/iPad next March, instead of in 1.5 years.
BTW, re: Tegra 4/overshoot - In the next generation, when silicon is cheap enough for oct-core, because we don't need the power (and can't utilise multicore anyway) it will instead lead to the next smaller form-factor. But smaller than a phone is hard to use, for both I and O. A candidate solution is VR glasses - because of size.
- zanny 14y ago> But smaller than a phone is hard to use, for both I and O. A candidate solution is VR glasses - because of size. If we could get wireless hdmi down and standardized (or wireless displayport, or some display standard over some wireless frequency band) I can easily see computers going so far as being solar powered interconnected nodes, where instead of you lugging around hardware you just link up to the nearest node and utilize a network of tiny quarter sized chips as capable as a modern dual core A9 or some such that runs off solar.