Don't conflate the existing SOTA and the future SOTA. When OpenAI released ChatGPT 3.5 in late 2022 as free a research preview as the SOTA at the time, the mod

Don't conflate the existing SOTA and the future SOTA. When OpenAI released ChatGPT 3.5 in late 2022 as free a research preview as the SOTA at the time, the model wasn't good and with a ton of hallucinations. There was no harness, context windows was small and token speed is slow. Plenty of folks said what a joke, no one can do serious work with it. 4 year later now looking back, can you imagine what AI capabilities are now? Can you imagine what AI would be capable another 4 years from today? Keep in mind, AI improvement is not stagnant as everyone is working on Recursive Self-Improvement and trillions of dollars pouring into it. If you are betting the future on the current understanding the AI capability, I bet you will lose.