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I was having a conversation with my dad about how if a virus had a 10% death rate it would be terrifying. His reply was that 10% was nothing, that means you've
by LandR 1mo ago
I was having a conversation with my dad about how if a virus had a 10% death rate it would be terrifying.
His reply was that 10% was nothing, that means you've got 90% chance to survive. Then said you've probably got a 10% chance of being hit by a bus every time you cross the road. Just absolutely no idea what probabilities are at all or ability to extrapolate probabilities from real world lived experience.
- dgellow 1mo ago> His reply was that 10% was nothing Ask him how many times he would roll that dice
- beng-nl 1mo agoFittingly, he would be rolling that die
- OroPla 1mo agoIn my head he answered "in my day and age we had the black plague, with a 90% death rate". (It was 50%, but who checks these numbers anyway.) Guess we are so used to made up numbers and exaggerations that it's hard to take anything at face value.
- boogieknite 1mo agothe short story The Pill plays out a world full of people who reason similarly, among many other things. https://escapepod.org/2022/11/03/escape-pod-861-the-pill-part-1-of-2/ https://escapepod.org/2022/11/03/escape-pod-861-the-pill-par...