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> So my new pet theory is that this is one of the few times we're seeing a positive effect from the heads of all of these big businesses being part of weird pub

• somenameforme 2mo ago
  On what account? It's certainly true that these people are part of these orgs. And it's also certainly true that they're discussing 'mental automation' (as a catch-all for LLM stuff) and its economic/social consequences amongst themselves. And finally it's also true that they're not really acting as much on LLMs as they ostensibly could, when normally they'd do pretty much anything, regardless of longer term consequences, if it'd increase next quarter's margins by a point or two. I think the only assumption that's meaningfully debatable is whether the current SOTA are able to supplant labor to a more significant degree or not. And while I suppose that's going to inextricably remain an opinion, I think it's reasonably objective to say that hallucination rates have sharply declined, and overall code quality/coherence is sharply up.