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> _China doesn't need to invade Taiwan._ All your points consider what China can do but not how others would respond. Blocking Taiwan when the whole AI economy
by re-thc 1mo ago
> _China doesn't need to invade Taiwan._
All your points consider what China can do but not how others would respond. Blocking Taiwan when the whole AI economy is running on it will invoke lots of countries to go up in arms. There was a quote from US military that it'd cost less to fight than watch Taiwan fall (invasion or not).
> 4. China is close to producing industry-grade EUV
No where near close. At least not production grade at massive scale.
> * Establish a total naval and air blockade of Taiwan using their fleets stationed in Ningbo and Zhanjiang.
Doesn't work. If they do that the US, JP and others can also blockade around Shanghai, Hong Kong and the other ports.
> They won't need TSMC soon
Taiwan is not just TSMC. There are thousands to millions of things involving Taiwan you're likely not aware of and they might not even be AI or semi related.
- d5lt5 1mo ago> All your points consider what China can do but not how others would respond. US backed off last year when there were talks about protecting Taiwan. They pulled Patriot missiles from Taiwan and South Korea too. China and Japan have a beef. Considering the atrocities Japan did in China, the conversation won't be friendly. None of these are good for Taiwan, during the times when its political system is failing. > No where near close. At least not production grade at massive scale. It looks like you have knowledge of the status of that super-secret government project. Can you share some details then? > Doesn't work. If they do that the US, JP and others can also blockade around Shanghai, Hong Kong and the other ports. US cannot blockade Hormuz, as we've seen. JP cannot do that with their current constitution unless they change it (the current government is on the road to it, though). What we've also seen is that Chinese fishing fleet had a military blockade exercise [0]. > Taiwan is not just TSMC. There are thousands to millions of things involving Taiwan you're likely not aware of and they might not even be AI or semi related. All is around semiconductors. [0] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/01/16/world/asia/china-ships-fishing-militia-blockade.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/01/16/world/asia/ch...
- leptons 1mo ago>US backed off last year when there were talks about protecting Taiwan. They pulled Patriot missiles from Taiwan and South Korea too. >US cannot blockade Hormuz, as we've seen. JP cannot do that with their current constitution unless they change it (the current government is on the road to it, though). If China really wants to fuck with Taiwan, they had better do it soon while the most incompetent US administration ever to hold office is still there. Because there is change coming to the US and the next president isn't likely to be such a complete moron.
- d5lt5 1mo ago> Because there is change coming to the US and the next president isn't likely to be such a complete moron. All past elections prove you otherwise.
- leptons 1mo agoIf you honestly think that, then you are not paying attention, or you're just a typical troll.
- d5lt5 1mo agoMaybe you are? Because so far, I backed up my opinion about China vs Taiwan with facts. And you backed up yours with wishes.
- leptons 1mo ago>All past elections prove you otherwise. This is not a fact. This is bullshit trolling. This pointless internet interaction is over.
- queenkjuul 1mo agoEverybody always forgets George Bush for some reason
- 1mo ago