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Even AGI Can't Estimate a Jira Ticket

• ben_w 2mo ago
  > Why do models do this? > Likely the pretrain datasets are at fault They don't really know what hardware they're running on, or what load that hardware is under at the time you ask. I use these "human time required" estimates a different way: compare against the METR time horizon, and breakdown tasks which are too long and therefore unlikely to succeed.