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Did I even mention AGI? All I’m saying is that we’re hitting a plateau with how good models are while harnesses are untapped potential. And with Pi, you can swa
by theturtletalks 1mo ago
Did I even mention AGI? All I’m saying is that we’re hitting a plateau with how good models are while harnesses are untapped potential. And with Pi, you can swap models like electricity companies. Yes for now, the electricity is better with some companies but this will stabilize.
And no I came up with the metaphor all on my own, send me the chat of you getting the LLM to come up with it. Why not argue based on merit instead of strawman and ad hominem attacks?
- grey-area 1mo agoI’m afraid it’s a terrible metaphor, starting with the fact that LLMs are nothing like electricity, and the relation of harnesses to them is nothing like that of electronics to electricity, save perhaps one is a prerequisite of the other. Harnesses (and the concept of agents before them) presuppose competence in LLMs which simply doesn’t exist.
- theturtletalks 1mo agoI didn’t come with the electricity idea, it was Sam Altman saying it will be like a utility down the line and metered[0]. What would the “electronics” be in your opinion? 0. https://www.businessinsider.com/sam-altman-ai-utility-electricity-water-openai-2026-3 https://www.businessinsider.com/sam-altman-ai-utility-electr...
- grey-area 1mo agoAltman is a salesman selling flimflam to people who should know better. His idea of metering is predicated on the thing he’s selling being AGI, it is not, and all his predictions have turned to dust. Also that isn’t how metaphors work - they illuminate by comparison, if the comparison is not close they are not useful.
- theturtletalks 1mo agoIf it is metered and like a utility, Sam Altman will not benefit alone. All the models will have plateaued and you can swap for any of them. Then the only differentiator is the harness. I don’t believe in AGI, but that doesn’t mean I don’t find AI useful. I just understand that the correct harness can take them to the next level.
- rasputin243 1mo ago“Just as electricity transformed almost everything 100 years ago, today I actually have a hard time thinking of an industry that I don’t think AI will transform in the next several years” - Andrew Ng
- Avicebron 1mo agoIs it just a coincidence that he works in the space and will directly benefit if this is true?
- qarl2 1mo ago> presuppose competence in LLMs which simply doesn’t exist. Then how do you explain the wild success at using them for development?
- grey-area 1mo agoGuided by humans, code generators which have ingested the worlds’ code and can recognise and generate patterns can be useful tools. I wouldn’t personally qualify it as a wild success as we are early and there are significant downsides. That doesn’t make them intelligent agents which think independently.
- qarl2 1mo agoWould you like to see some of my own examples of wild success? I have a system that entirely reverse engineers old arcade games. Creates semantic symbol mappings that were considered impossible just a couple years ago. Granted, it took me a couple weeks to build the system. From impossible to a couple weeks in just a couple years. Would you like to see it or continue to pretend these things don't exist? Your call. (It's finding the coolest stuff - the anti-tampering hacks they put into the old machines is fascinating.)
- grey-area 1mo agoI’ve made my own arcade games with an LLM. It was fun though the code wasn’t great. Mostly I felt they reproduced games from the training data, some with more examples available worked better than others. I use them most days for work, and for that reason don’t trust them that much and certainly don’t worry or fantasise about AGI.
- qarl2 1mo agoYou were making some pretty strong statements about the usefulness of harnesses that seemed to me to be entirely detached from reality. Maybe I misunderstood you? Because I can provide evidence to correct that misconception. Another of my projects is to incorporate Pixar's ideas from RenderMan into a 3d printer slicer. Displacement shaders, in a 3d printer, have never been done before. Would you like to see that? I had the idea 10 years ago but it was too tedious to implement. I have a working system now in just a couple weeks AGAIN. Anyone claiming agents aren't profoundly useful is WRONG. If you disagree, please let's discuss it.