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What do you mean “we can’t tell”? For those who aren’t aware, the war against Iran (direct, they don’t have nukes yet) and Russia (via Ukraine proxy, Russia has
by cpursley 1mo ago
What do you mean “we can’t tell”? For those who aren’t aware, the war against Iran (direct, they don’t have nukes yet) and Russia (via Ukraine proxy, Russia has nukes) as well as Venezuela (infiltrate their power structure and bribe off) are actually the same war: they are multi front (financial, energy, technical; ranging from soft to kinetic) geopolitical “containment” strategies. The US/UK/EU think tank and others influencing policy have written about it non-stop since forever, it’s not like a grand conspiracy - it’s all out in the public if you lift back the on the surface news narrative. You can literally pull down and read the policy papers, read the transcripts of those (in power and adjacent to power) pushing this “primacy” view of US led hegemony.
- pjc50 1mo agoRussia is the odd one out here, in that it was started by Russian incursions as far back as 2014: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_occupation_of_Crimea https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_occupation_of_Crimea The think tank argument is very valid though. You can no longer find "Project for the new American Century" online, but they laid out the invasion of Iraq before 9/11 (the pretext) even happened.
- cpursley 1mo agoGosh, now I wonder why they would have possibly intervened at that particular time. No geopolitical analysts anywhere could have ever predicted the reaction of Russia to the possibility of Sevastopol becoming a NATO Naval base and US forward strike forces and missile base setting up shop just 250 miles away from Moscow...
- pjc50 1mo agoThe "buffer zone" argument works in reverse: gee, I wonder why Europe got worried given that annexation of Ukraine would put Russian forces right next to Poland, Slovakia, Hungary (Orban era), Romania, and Moldova (which is already partly occupied in Transnistria).
- soco 1mo ago[flagged]
- deleted 1mo ago[deleted]
- def_true_false 1mo agoThere are already NATO bases within 250 miles of St Petersburg. Pray tell, what's so special about Moscow?
- cpursley 1mo agoReally? Hum, maybe it’s the political and economic capital? What’s so special about Kiev, Paris?
- leonidasrup 1mo agoDistance between Sevastopol and Moscow is 1284 km, 798.31 mi or 693.71 nmi. On the other hand distance from Kaliningrad to Berlin is just 618 km, 384 mi or 333.94 nmi.
- cpursley 1mo agoChernihiv is 280 miles, I was off my a bit. Kaliningrad is not the concern. Sevastopol is a different type of concern (navy power). Russia has a long insecurity about its western boarder going back way before Putin, no leadership there unless in the pocket of the US was going to allow that in the same way China ain’t building an alliance with Mexico. This is geopolitics 101, day 1 material.
- leonidasrup 1mo agoExactly the same way the Russians are uneasy about Chernihiv, Western countries are uneasy about Kaliningrad with it's nuclear-capable Iskander-M missiles. https://metro.co.uk/2025/06/17/russia-upgrades-nuclear-sites-closest-uk-23441537/ https://metro.co.uk/2025/06/17/russia-upgrades-nuclear-sites... Geopolitics 101 also says that in a war between countries armed with ICBMs delivering nuclear weapons, distance doesn't matter, everyone dies. Especially with second-strike capability like Dead Hand (Sistema "Perimetr"). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_hand https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_hand