My personal opinion is that this is the state of so-called experts in most scientific or engineering fields at their inception - it takes a fair bit of time for

My personal opinion is that this is the state of so-called experts in most scientific or engineering fields at their inception - it takes a fair bit of time for the ecosystem to filter out and players to get an intrinsic feel for how "full of it" others are. I also believe that due to the sycophantic nature of popular LLMs, people tend to fool themselves more than usual by having a digital "yes man".