3 ms·
It will probably be warm but this is from the GFS model that was forecasting 50 degrees during the last heat wave. Apparently, it tends to "overegg temperature
by yread 2mo ago
It will probably be warm but this is from the GFS model that was forecasting 50 degrees during the last heat wave. Apparently, it tends to "overegg temperature projections for Europe in the summer by around 2-2.5c. ... it dries out soil too fast in its models."
https://www.reddit.com/r/weather/comments/1um7tyn/sometimes_models_come_up_with_extremely_unlikely/ https://www.reddit.com/r/weather/comments/1um7tyn/sometimes_...
- b800h 2mo agoThe soil is quite dry already.
- Arodex 2mo agoThis is a two week forecast, one month ago. There is no good two week forecast. There is a heat wave right now, again.
- yread 2mo agoExactly! The reddit link is from a run from one month ago, predicting that the previous heatwave will be 49 degrees. Now we know that it was "just" 43 or so. So we know that this model tends to overestimate the temperature