3 ms·

I'm not sure that the software/hardware break is as clear cut as that: http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/07/software-progress-beats-moores-law/ http://bits

• crazygringo 14y ago
  Kurzweil makes the same point in his rebuttal. But all he (and the article) is talking about is speed improvements to algorithms. Singularity-type AI is not about the speed, and it's not about complexity in terms of number of moving parts either (a million-line code base might be larger than a 10,000-line one, and more complicated, but not necessarily any more conceptually complex). What matters for the "Singularity" is conceptual improvements. We're still writing brittle computer code that crashes a compiler upon a single slightly misspelled constant name or missing comma, where the intention would still be crystal-clear to any human programmer. I don't see any kind of "exponential" progress whatsoever relating to the fundamental building blocks of artificial thought, which is what the entire "Singularity" premise is based on.