I started critiquing SpaceX several years ago, on the basis that this iterative pseudo agile approach to rockets was a crock of cheese. There's still evidence t

I started critiquing SpaceX several years ago, on the basis that this iterative pseudo agile approach to rockets was a crock of cheese. There's still evidence that Elon doesn't grasp the fact the critical path is going to kill starship. Starship has too many high risk dependencies stacked on top of each other. For example the project is so far away from the launch cadence that makes orbital refueling possible that the project could become irrelevant before they can even try. The obvious high risk dependency is that high volume orbital refueling works at all, but it's also dependent on payload which isn't meeting spec yet, and a lot of aerospace projects never meet their payload spec, which in the case of starship could double or triple the number of refueling flights needed.