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Just a point that should be made in any discussion about the "Singularity": Kurzweil's isn't the only model/definition[1] of the Singularity, and some high-prof
by dbaupp 14y ago
Just a point that should be made in any discussion about the "Singularity": Kurzweil's isn't the only model/definition[1] of the Singularity, and some high-profile Singularitarians don't have a high opinion of Kurzweil[2] ("I've come to the conclusion that Kurzweil's worldview prohibits Kurzweil from arriving at any real understanding of the basic nature of the Singularity").
> I think it's much more valid to call the "singularity" the point in time [...]
Isn't this just redefining the word "singularity", and so making the discussion about something entirely different? So it might be better to qualify that with "industrial singularity" and the one under consideration here is the "technological singularity".
[1]: http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/schools http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/schools
[2]: http://www.sl4.org/archive/0206/4015.html http://www.sl4.org/archive/0206/4015.html
- Symmetry 14y agoI've really got nearly zero respect for Kurzweil as a theorist. He made a bunch of predictions for 2010 in his 1999 book The Age of Spiritual Machines. When 2010 came around he graded his predictions and gave himself very high marks, but when I found a copy of the book and read what he'd actually written I found that he'd had to re-write his predictions substantially in order to count them as succeeding. As far as I can tell the only way to become popular as a futurist is to lay out predictions for the future in far more detail and with far more certainty than could every be justified.