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Interesting forecast, but it unrealistically assumes America still has soft power. The US international soft power wings have been clipped by an administration
by 1attice 2mo ago
Interesting forecast, but it unrealistically assumes America still has soft power.
The US international soft power wings have been clipped by an administration that has shown the world that since everything is permitted to the USA, its various coercive threats are vacuous; there is no one home, no moral metabolism. What is true now will not be true in six months. There is no diachronically stable counterparty.
Instead of a shitty but stable american global tech hegemony, what you describe instead is a world where the rest of us get good cheap models, and you all do not.
We see this already with American carmakers. Do any of you really think a new car should cost $70K?
Here in Canada I am looking forward to my $10K BYD. Thanks to the destructive US tarriffs and threats to our sovereignty, we no longer need to care about American squeamishness, and no longer sync our foreign policies to each other's mutual benefit. When the soft power turned hard, we gave ourselves permission to stop caring about protecting markets for American products.
Every country on Earth just unlocked the same permission structure this year. God bless America, you brought us all liberty after all :)
- xscott 2mo ago> it unrealistically assumes America still has soft power I did caveat by saying, "where it can". I'm very unhappy with what we've been doing here, but until you Canadians bail out of Five Eyes, I think you're still in bed with us. Nothing is simple.
- 1attice 2mo agoWell, sometimes it is. This happened: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-military-models-canadian-response-to-hypothetical-american-invasion/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-military-mo... Trust me. We might not have yet signed the paperwork, but the divorce proceeds apace.