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I agree with you in the broad strokes, but replacement by LLMs isn't the only way the level of employment can be reduced. If LLMs can make it so that two progra
by Calazon 2mo ago
I agree with you in the broad strokes, but replacement by LLMs isn't the only way the level of employment can be reduced. If LLMs can make it so that two programmers can do the work that used to require five, that can result in a very large reduction in employment, even while having (some) programmers is still essential.
- tunesmith 2mo agoOn the bet that layoffs will result in programmers ending up at 40% of the staffing level they are now, I will take the over.
- Calazon 2mo agoWhat sources do you think are good for this data for the recent past? My brief initial search is turning up a lot of contradictory data, probably because the sources are defining "programmers" differently from each other.
- killingtime74 2mo agoOnly if there is no further additional demand created by the now lower cost of doing the work. Take lighting as an example. As it has progressed from burning expensive candles to now leds, our demand for lighting has continued to increase.