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Maybe was this that was the last drop for Sundar. Demis: "I have a new amazing breakthrough" Sundar: "Great! We really need a answer to Sol and Fable" Demis:
by fcanesin 2mo ago
Maybe was this that was the last drop for Sundar.
Demis: "I have a new amazing breakthrough"
Sundar: "Great! We really need a answer to Sol and Fable"
Demis: "They are completely owned in typhoon forecasting"
- trescenzi 2mo agoIronically typhoon forecasting, at this moment, is more valuable. These predictions are matters of life, death, and billions of dollars in damage.
- sweezyjeezy 2mo agoValuable, agreed. But lucrative?
- gniv 2mo agoAre Sol and Fable lucrative? I suspect they also are valuable (to clients) but not lucrative (yet).
- quicekuru 2mo agoI think both have value, but in opposite ways. While WeatherNext prevents costs, models like fable or sol "create profit". I can think of 10 examples how one could make money with fable. With WeatherNext? Only 10 examples of preventing costs. Taking this, maybe naive, thought further, profits have no upper limit (except resources) while costs can only save so much?
- gniv 2mo agoYes of course. My comment was facetious.
- allannienhuis 2mo agoI've always assumed that insurance and/or government departments that would spend money due to storms would be the ones funneling money to these sorts of efforts. It's not exactly something you can easily sell directly to individuals who would benefit. It would be pretty dystopian for them to sell subscriptions for an extra 24 hrs notice on the next typhoon :P
- gpm 2mo agoTrade agricultural futures based on it maybe?
- davoneus 2mo agoI agree, but the shareholder mentality undervalues the heck out of that.
- xyzzy123 2mo agoI know this is uncharitable and I am wrong but I am having trouble coming up with concrete scenarios where you die with 2 days notice but survive with 3. I am nonethless a believer that more accurate forecasting has value.
- IanCal 2mo agoCould you imagine a scenario where from warning to complete evacuation takes more than two days? Evacuating a whole area is a hard task, particularly once you start looking at more complex problems (elderly, prisons, hospitals).
- deleted 2mo ago[deleted]
- xyzzy123 2mo agoI feel like the details of this are highly dependent on the confidence of the warning; moving large numbers of people (particularly elderly) will result in some deaths regardless. I guess more time to do it should help though.
- SoftTalker 2mo agoWe can't save everyone, so let's not bother trying to do better.
- metanoia_ 2mo agoHurricane Maria went from Cat 2 to Cat 5 in less than 24 hours, and turned making a direct hit to Dominica in 2017.
- counters 2mo agoIt was also forecast by virtually every NWP system multiple days ahead of time that it would make this intensification.
- michaelbuckbee 2mo agoThe 2 vs 3 days makes less of an impact on personal decision making but has massive benefits for decision making at the country wide response level.
- esperent 2mo agoHow does predicting a typhoon prevent billions in damage? It could save thousands of lives because people can be evacuated if you can predict a few hours or a day further ahead, or the path more accurately. You can save some damage by moving ships and vehicles. But you can't evacuate buildings or infrastructure.
- baq 2mo agoYou can board up a helluva lot more stuff in a week than in two days. Crucially, you can move more of the most expensive stuff out of the storm surge zone, which is where the biggest damage happens and try to flood proof more of the things which can’t be moved.
- esperent 2mo ago> You can board up a helluva lot more stuff in a week than in two days TFA says they might be able to predict one extra day ahead (three days instead of two). No prediction system will ever give you a week's notice on a typhoon.
- teravor 2mo agoby giving it away they capture none of the value except for some PR.
- blitzar 2mo agoYou want to know whats cooler than a billion dollars in damage, a trillion dollars in valuation.
- purplemoonx 2mo ago[flagged]
- nbardy 2mo agohe got promoted to chief scientist and them being an expert at all modeling will really help compared to being llm only