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"become more linear starting in Q4" We are not even close to what AI slowdown looks like. The whole business side of things are now building Agentic Layer for

by Yopolo 2mo ago

"become more linear starting in Q4" We are not even close to what AI slowdown looks like. The whole business side of things are now building Agentic Layer for Business applications. All of this Agentic Layer needs to be build and its happening right now and still needs a little bit of time. Anthropic and co have the biggest and centralized reinforcement loop on the planet: Millions of people telling them what is good and what not due to thumbs up/down. And for sure when the businesses are building the agentic layer they might give direct feedback to them. While in parallel LLMs get better, more generic and a LOT cheaper too.

nativeit 2mo ago
Cheaper? For whom? As a solo practitioner, I can no longer afford the workloads I was getting for $20/mo in January. Now the same plan being utilized at the same level for the same work hits its limits within a few hours, and runs out of tokens in less than two days.
- Yopolo 2mo ago
  Yes this is unfortunate and not what I meant. I mean the token prices in general as certain services were never really using a subscription. I do run a claude subscripton right now though and since there capacity change, i hit the limit rarely in comparision to the past, but I don't think this will stay as it is.
827a 2mo ago
Your issue, I believe, is that you seem to believe capabilities are measured along one axis. This is natural to believe because it is representative of how the models have evolved up to this point, and thus it is also what many AGI-pilled people believe. Critically, you did not quote the most important part of my sentence: "useful progress will probably slow down and become more linear starting in Q4"; your omission of those words is why I believe you don't understand what I'm saying; you didn't find it important to make your point, so you omitted it, when actually it is critical to the entire assertion. You can read my third paragraph, if you wish, to understand why it is important, instead of just stopping at the first word you disagree with and hitting the "Submit Comment" button.
- Yopolo 2mo ago
  No clue why you have to respond like this. Feel free to be a dick to someone else.

by Yopolo 2mo ago

nativeit 2mo ago

Cheaper? For whom? As a solo practitioner, I can no longer afford the workloads I was getting for $20/mo in January. Now the same plan being utilized at the same level for the same work hits its limits within a few hours, and runs out of tokens in less than two days.

Yopolo 2mo ago
Yes this is unfortunate and not what I meant. I mean the token prices in general as certain services were never really using a subscription. I do run a claude subscripton right now though and since there capacity change, i hit the limit rarely in comparision to the past, but I don't think this will stay as it is.

827a 2mo ago

Your issue, I believe, is that you seem to believe capabilities are measured along one axis. This is natural to believe because it is representative of how the models have evolved up to this point, and thus it is also what many AGI-pilled people believe. Critically, you did not quote the most important part of my sentence: "useful progress will probably slow down and become more linear starting in Q4"; your omission of those words is why I believe you don't understand what I'm saying; you didn't find it important to make your point, so you omitted it, when actually it is critical to the entire assertion. You can read my third paragraph, if you wish, to understand why it is important, instead of just stopping at the first word you disagree with and hitting the "Submit Comment" button.

Yopolo 2mo ago
No clue why you have to respond like this. Feel free to be a dick to someone else.